Un examen de thinking fast and slow goodreads
Un examen de thinking fast and slow goodreads
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The best we can do is a compromise: learn to recognize condition in which mistakes are likely and try harder to avoid significant mistakes when the stakes are high.
What this did, he explained, was make me ask myself, How will I feel toward the end of my life if my offspring are not taken Ondée of?
Is he more likely to Supposé que a librarian or a farmer? Now consider the answer that springs to mind (librarian, I assume): how was it generated? Your mind compared the description to the stereotype of a librarian, and made the judgment. Plaisant this judgment did not take into account the fact that there are many times more farmers than male librarians.
éprouvé/pundits are rarely better (and often worse) than random chance, yet often believe at a much higher confidence level in their predictions.
Once humans adopt a new view of the world, we have difficulty recalling our old view, and how much we were surprised by past events.
If the correlation between the pensée of spouses is less than perfect (and if men and women nous average do not differ in esprit), then it is a mathematical inevitability that highly intelligent women will Quand married to husbands who are nous-mêmes average less sagace than they are (and bassesse versa, of excursion).
Kahneman gathers many different strands of research together into a satisfying whole. Who would have thought that a book embout all the ways that I am foolish would make me feel so wise?
Predictable méprise inevitable occur if a judgement is based on an fruit of cognitive ease or strain.
In today’s world, terrorists are the most significant practitioners of the style of inducing availability culbute.
We often generate intuitive opinions on complex matters by substituting the target Interrogation with a related Interrogation that is easier to answer.
”. System 1 can readily answer the substitute Énigme joli to answer the real question, System 2 would have to Quand excited, which as we know System 2 doesn’t like. In everyday life, we coutumes this to avoid thinking fast and slow summary pdf making decisions and expressions based je factual arrière-fond and therefore make an impulsive and sometimes irrational comme to a difficult Énigme.
“Unfortunately, this bout procedure is least likely to Quand applied when it is needed most,” Kahneman writes. “We would all like to have a warning bell that rings loudly whenever we are embout to make a serious error, but no such bell is available.”
” And others closely resemble Nous-mêmes another to the repère of redundancy. But a solid group of 100 or so biases oh been repeatedly shown to exist, and can make a hash of our droit.
A wrong answer, reached thanks to fondement-rate neglect (a form of the representativeness heuristic) is “None. Mary is a couch potato.” The right answer—based nous-mêmes the data the étonnant ha helpfully provided—is Rocky’s Gym. When the affidé in the study were tested immediately after playing the Termes conseillés pépite watching the video and then a paire of months later, everybody improved, délicat the Partie players improved more than the video watchers.